It Seems That a War between Europe and Russia is Inevitable

Abstract

The author intends for this research article to shed new light on the problems of ending the Russian-Ukrainian war. The article presents the interests behind the European Union's full support for Ukraine, the EU policy on the Russian-Ukrainian war, and the expected consequences of this policy. Considering that the EU could have prevented the escalation of the conflict on three occasions over the past ten years (through implementation of the agreement between the Ukrainian opposition and President, of the Minsk agreements and the support of the 2022 Russian-Ukrainian peace plan), as well as the EU's current position on ending the war (to use proxy warfare to force Russia an unconditional ceasefire along the current front lines and then into indefinite peace negotiations with unknown agenda, and during this time with Western military support, prepare the Ukrainian armed forces to restore the country's territorial integrity), the author concludes that the only obstacle for ending the war in Ukraine through negotiations is the EU. The result of the EU's policy will be the continuation of the war and, sooner or later, a military clash between NATO and Russia. This option is heightened by attacks on Russian oil processing infrastructure with Western (American, British) long-range weapons and with direct Western technical, operational, and intelligence support. Given Russia's new nuclear doctrine, these attacks could also lead to the use of tactical nuclear weapons from the side of the Russian Federation.